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The Silent Profit Killer: Why Unchecked Expiry is Crippling Your Commercial Health

  • Dr. Rajashri Mokashi
  • Dec 1
  • 3 min read

The pharmaceutical industry operates on razor-thin margins and tight regulatory requirements, yet one silent, persistent cost continues to erode profitability: product expiry. This is more than just a supply chain headache; it's a critical commercial failure that speaks to a profound disconnect between market demand and operational planning. In a data-rich era, high expiry rates are no longer an acceptable cost of doing business—they are a direct indicator that your commercial analytics are failing to provide the precision required for modern healthcare commerce.


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The Domino Effect of Uncontrolled Expiry


The consequence of increasing expiry is a powerful chain reaction that stretches far beyond the warehouse, impacting manufacturing, finance, and commercial teams alike. Firstly, there is the immediate and devastating profitability impact. Expired products represent 100% loss of input cost, manufacturing overhead, and lost revenue potential. This directly inflates your Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) and requires significant financial write-offs. Secondly, this loss creates an immense load on the entire supply chain. Companies often compensate for past expiry by creating safety stocks, leading to bloated inventory levels, increased carrying costs, and further risk of future expiry—a vicious cycle that is financially unsustainable.

This perpetual cycle of waste is rooted in flawed initial assumptions. The core issue often stems from wrong forecasting for manufacturing. When market signals—such as granular secondary sales data, regional consumption velocity, or the unique dynamics of Organized Trade—are not accurately translated into the manufacturing schedule, the system defaults to historical or generalized models. This results in overproduction for low-demand areas and underproduction for high-demand areas. Consequently, your inventory days increase, meaning products sit longer in the channel, eating into their shelf life. By the time a product finally reaches a low-velocity retail point, it has already lost significant commercial value, increasing the probability of being returned as expired.



Introducing Fixit: Now More Accessible Than Ever


To combat this entrenched inefficiency, Gregor Analytics offers Fixit, our dedicated Expiry Reduction Module. As part of our comprehensive suite of AI-powered SaaS solutions, Fixit is designed to move commercial teams from a reactive posture—dealing with returns—to a proactive stance of prevention.

Recognizing that expiry management requires urgent and focused attention, we are proud to announce the launch of a dedicated Fixit Login Portal. This streamlined accessibility ensures that critical expiry data is always just one click away for the teams that need it most.



How Fixit Works: From Data Silos to Predictive Intelligence


Fixit operates on the core pillars of the Gregor Analytics philosophy: data, data science, and technology. The module works by ingesting and integrating disparate data sources—breaking down the silos between primary sales and secondary stockist reports. By applying machine learning and advanced analytics to this unified dataset, Fixit can track the "freshness" of inventory across the distribution network. Instead of relying on static reports that simply list near-expiry stock, the system leverages predictive analysis to identify mismatched inventory velocity. It spots areas where high stock levels collide with low demand well before the expiry date arrives, allowing commercial teams to visualize the risk landscape and understand exactly which batches in which territories are in danger of becoming write-offs.



Key Benefits: Turning Insight into Commercial Excellence


Implementing Fixit transforms expiry management from a logistical headache into a strategic advantage. The primary benefit is immediate cost efficiency and savings; by identifying at-risk stock early, companies can intervene with tactical promotions or stock transfers, significantly reducing financial write-offs. Furthermore, the tool enhances process efficiency, allowing teams to make quicker decisions regarding manufacturing adjustments and distribution planning. Ultimately, Fixit helps normalize inventory days, ensuring that capital is not tied up in aging stock. This leads to a leaner, more responsive supply chain and allows the manufacturing engine to align strictly with true market demand rather than inflated forecasts.



Access the dedicated Fixit portal now and discover which of your batches are silently costing you millions:


 
 
 

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